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We grabbed another win yesterday as France advanced to the semifinals. It wasn’t just a win, but a 2-0 victory as predicted. I didn’t bet it, but the odds on that exact score had to be a decent payday for you. Today brings us just one game in the World Cup, and the winner will move on to play France in the semifinals. Let’s try to grab a bit more cash as Spain takes on Belgium.
The Spanish team remains one of the better groups remaining in the World Cup. If you’re considering the remaining teams, I think you have to assume that either Spain or Argentina will be the biggest threat to France. Spain is led in scoring by Mikel Oyarzabal, and my biggest concern is that they don’t have enough guys to get goals. With only nine goals in the World Cup, over five games, they could certainly use more scoring in general. They have five guys with one goal each, which is a testament to how many different people have made an impact, but they will struggle if Oyarzabal can’t lead the way.
In their path to getting to this game, Spain started with a draw against Cape Verde. We know now that the Cape Verde team had a lot of heart and was very good in the World Cup. That final was 0-0. In the second game, they were able to win 4-0 over Saudi Arabia. That’s a game they were supposed to dominate, and they did it. The final game of the Group Stage saw them win 1-0 over Uruguay. They had a fairly lucky draw against Austria in the Round of 32 and dominated, winning 3-0. Then they ended Cristiano Ronaldo’s World Cup career with a 1-0 win to get to this game.
CRISTIANO RONALDO EXITS WORLD CUP AS SPAIN DEFEATS PORTUGAL, AWAITS WINNER OF USA-BELGIUM
Belgium is probably a team most readers are a bit more familiar with, having seen them play in their last match. It wasn’t the most-watched game of all time like the England-Mexico match, but having knocked out the United States, there were plenty of people watching them play. While Spain is led by one guy, I would say that Belgium is also led, but not dominated, by one person. Romelu Lukaku is their best scorer and has recorded a shot in each game and a shot on goal in the past three games. Belgium has four guys on the squad with at least two goals.
I’ve already mentioned the last game that Belgium played, but let’s explore their path to this matchup. They’ve had a relatively easy path, starting with a draw against Egypt, which also gave Argentina a scare (and arguably should’ve won). Then playing Iran to a draw as well. When they needed a win, against New Zealand, they got it, winning 5-1. They also beat Senegal 3-2, before taking down America 4-1.
There are two things I like in this game: the first one is both teams to score. This is slightly pricey with a -145 line, and Spain hasn’t exactly looked like an offensive force, but I think they should be good enough to get one against a Belgium team that has given up plenty of opportunities to opponents. In fact, in all but one Belgium game, the teams have both scored.
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The other angle I like in this one is over 2.5 goals scored. Again, Spain seems to be more defensively focused, but Belgium is an attacking team. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 2-1 victory for either team here. I just don’t have a good feel for which team comes out on top (which usually means that there is some value in the underdog). Give me the over.
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